Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.079957 0.092810 0.106880 0.123399 0.142236 0.163018 0.187658
2024-12-29 0.061370 0.078609 0.099197 0.125487 0.158048 0.196926 0.246725
2025-01-05 0.047957 0.067001 0.091542 0.125236 0.170008 0.227128 0.305144
2025-01-12 0.037356 0.056460 0.082821 0.121421 0.175975 0.249694 0.356083
2025-01-19 0.030239 0.049072 0.076706 0.119550 0.183477 0.274296 0.411745
2025-01-26 0.026897 0.046453 0.076719 0.126020 0.203065 0.317258 0.497125
2025-02-02 0.024041 0.043985 0.076407 0.131651 0.221683 0.360304 0.586577
2025-02-09 0.019958 0.038698 0.070702 0.127729 0.224593 0.379399 0.641023
2025-02-16 0.017140 0.035081 0.067152 0.126696 0.231726 0.405354 0.708118
2025-02-23 0.014503 0.031305 0.062707 0.123385 0.234378 0.423900 0.764380
2025-03-02 0.012403 0.028177 0.058940 0.120683 0.237569 0.443307 0.823357
2025-03-09 0.011078 0.026379 0.057406 0.121862 0.247729 0.475406 0.906589
2025-03-16 0.009373 0.023504 0.053413 0.117925 0.248205 0.490894 0.962950
2025-03-23 0.008746 0.022927 0.054050 0.123348 0.267298 0.542125 1.088711
2025-03-30 0.007858 0.021573 0.052833 0.124759 0.278566 0.579689 1.192300
2025-04-06 0.006769 0.019515 0.049745 0.121732 0.280390 0.599203 1.263143
2025-04-13 0.005934 0.017934 0.047495 0.120222 0.285150 0.624775 1.347711
2025-04-20 0.005683 0.017850 0.048775 0.126908 0.308243 0.689114 1.514266
2025-04-27 0.005393 0.017606 0.049622 0.132667 0.329841 0.752087 1.682773
2025-05-04 0.004659 0.015937 0.046622 0.128760 0.329145 0.768259 1.756055
2025-05-11 0.004149 0.014824 0.044888 0.127739 0.334966 0.798736 1.861565
2025-05-18 0.003611 0.013504 0.042387 0.124412 0.334914 0.816305 1.940692
2025-05-25 0.003165 0.012378 0.040235 0.121694 0.336001 0.836397 2.026696